Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.689061e-03 0.001874 0.002059 0.002259 0.002468 0.002679 0.002909
2025-02-09 1.492728e-03 0.001766 0.002048 0.002360 0.002693 0.003037 0.003416
2025-02-16 1.274046e-03 0.001610 0.001968 0.002372 0.002813 0.003275 0.003794
2025-02-23 1.031613e-03 0.001407 0.001820 0.002297 0.002829 0.003395 0.004040
2025-03-02 8.318872e-04 0.001234 0.001690 0.002231 0.002845 0.003509 0.004274
2025-03-09 6.688869e-04 0.001087 0.001579 0.002177 0.002867 0.003624 0.004504
2025-03-16 5.455426e-04 0.000976 0.001500 0.002152 0.002916 0.003764 0.004760
2025-03-23 4.872908e-04 0.000941 0.001508 0.002225 0.003076 0.004028 0.005152
2025-03-30 4.105188e-04 0.000873 0.001470 0.002240 0.003164 0.004207 0.005449
2025-04-06 3.584373e-04 0.000833 0.001463 0.002289 0.003291 0.004430 0.005792
2025-04-13 3.289849e-04 0.000822 0.001492 0.002380 0.003466 0.004707 0.006196
2025-04-20 2.487657e-04 0.000724 0.001400 0.002317 0.003454 0.004765 0.006348
2025-04-27 1.756392e-04 0.000638 0.001336 0.002309 0.003535 0.004964 0.006704
2025-05-04 1.414486e-04 0.000612 0.001354 0.002409 0.003752 0.005327 0.007253
2025-05-11 9.224425e-05 0.000543 0.001306 0.002420 0.003860 0.005563 0.007659
2025-05-18 4.093535e-05 0.000440 0.001197 0.002344 0.003855 0.005664 0.007908
2025-05-25 1.089090e-05 0.000353 0.001099 0.002276 0.003857 0.005772 0.008162
2025-06-01 8.273804e-08 0.000281 0.001015 0.002221 0.003871 0.005890 0.008428
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000228 0.000955 0.002195 0.003921 0.006050 0.008742
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000213 0.000963 0.002269 0.004101 0.006370 0.009247
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000181 0.000933 0.002284 0.004200 0.006589 0.009630
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000162 0.000928 0.002334 0.004345 0.006865 0.010081
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000157 0.000950 0.002426 0.004547 0.007211 0.010616